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Exploiting the edge from historical market patterns
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Posted 1 week ago
A reader recently asked me about a problem he was having with the fear of missing . It appears that he front-runs his setups, getting into trades before he gets proper signals. This fear of missing
Posted 1 week ago
My new book has a tentative cover, and the writing is now past the halfway mark. I'll be updating readers about the new material covered in the text through a dedicated website. That site will have
Tags: trading
Posted 1 week ago
* Weakness Across Sectors - Looking at the 40 stocks in my basket, chosen evenly from eight S&P 500 sectors, my technical strength measure (a quantitative measure of trending) finds 4 in uptrends, 3
Posted 1 week ago
Here is an absolutely phenomenal resource from Henry Carstens that takes your average win size per trade and the standard deviation of your daily returns and generates, Monte Carlo style, plots of you
Posted 1 week ago
While the large cap indexes are testing their March lows, the banking (middle chart) and housing (bottom chart) sectors have blown through those levels to make bear market lows. It's difficult to ima
Tags: bear market lows
Posted 1 week ago
In the most recent indicator review, we looked at a number of signs of weakness, including an expanding number of stocks making fresh 65-day lows and weak money flows. This past week saw more of the
Posted 2 weeks ago
How you've been faring this year so far in the stock market is very much a function of the sectors you've been invested in. While the S&P 500 Index (SPY) has been down about 10% thus far in 2008, the
Posted 2 weeks ago
The trading of options on equities rather than the equities themselves has become increasingly popular among retail and prop traders. This makes the equity option volumes particularly relevant as mar
Posted 2 weeks ago
In my last post, I illustrated the global bear market across the U.S., Asia, and Europe via country-specific ETFs. A number of readers pointed out that some countries are up on the year, and that is
Posted 2 weeks ago
While a great deal of attention has focused on U.S. stock market weakness (SPY), we're seeing just as much weakness among European equities, including the U.K. (EWU) and Germany (EWG). China (FXI) is
Tags: bear market commodities
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