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A blog by Gary Becker and Richard Posner

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The Rise in the Price of Oil-Becker

Posted on May 11, 2008

The run-up in the world price of oil during the past several years, and especially the rapid climb during the last few weeks to over $120 per barrel, has fueled predictions that the price will reach $200 a barrel in the rather near future. Such predictions are not based on much analysis, and mainly just extrapolate this sharp upward trend in oil prices into the future. The price of oil in real terms (i.e., relative to general prices) will not reach $200 in this time frame without either terrorist or other attacks that destroy major oil-producing facilities, or huge taxes on oil consumption. ...

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Tags:
china , economy , gdp , output , supply side , taxes
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